Warc's Global Ad Trends report shows changes in adspend

James McDonald

The adspend survey has run annually since 1980 and involves input from partners in 96 reporting markets. The survey covers TV, internet, mobile, newspapers, magazines, radio, cinema and out of home adspend. The company does not estimate or forecast markets for which it does not have a credible data partner.

James McDonald, Warc’s senior data analyst and author of the research, said, “Our extensive research provides a comprehensive overview of the marketing communications industry spanning over 30 years and our unique methodology allows us to measure the impact of currency fluctuations on advertising investment at a local and global level.”

Key findings

Key findings of Warc’s research from 2006-2015 reveals:
• The strengthening of the US dollar removed $44.8 billion from the value of the global ad market in 2015
• The opposite was true for the euro ad trade; €37.3 billion of global growth was superficial, due to the currency’s devaluation
• The value of the US ad market remained unchanged in the decade between 2006 and 2015
• The value of China’s market grew 3.5 times during this period.
• Hong Kong spends the most per capita on advertising ($782.33). The USA follows ($523.74) with Australia in third ($467.18)
• The $155bn spent securing ad space online in 2015 was 3.5 times greater than a decade earlier, equating to a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 18.1%
• Of the internet spend, almost two-thirds (30.7%) was for mobile ads, up from a share of just 1% from 2006
• TV was still the largest ad medium by spend in 2015 - at $195bn - though a strong dollar removed $17.8bn from global TV ad revenues
• TV’s share of global adspend has fallen each year between 2012 and 2015, with the 1.6% loss in 2015 representing the largest decline on record
• Only eight of the 96 markets monitored recorded growth in magazine ad revenue in 2015

“Chief among these findings is the revelation that, by the purest measure available, the combined value of ad trade worldwide took a full eight years to recover from the global financial crisis. It is also fascinating to note the juxtaposed trajectories of the world’s two largest advertising markets. While the amount spent to secure ad space in the US remained unchanged during the ten years to 2015, that spend in China grew three and a half times over this period.”

Global roundup

Reviewing the Global roundup for 2016 and outlook for 2017, Warc estimates that:

• Global adspend rose 5.2% in 2016, and anticipates growth of 3.6% in 2017

• Eight of Warc’s 12 key markets (which account for two-thirds of global adspend) are expected to witness a slowdown in adspend growth next year
• Worldwide internet adspend is expected to rise 12.5% in 2017, compared to a 1.9% decline for TV
• Mobile is thought to have become the largest ad platform in China this year - the first of the 96 monitored markets to witness this
• Mobile is set to become the second-largest ad channel in the US next year, with some $40bn expected to be spent reaching consumers on their phones.

• Approximately one in four pounds spent on UK advertising today goes to search providers

“In a real sign of the times, we believe that in 2016 China became the first market in which mobile was the biggest advertising channel by spend,” concludes McDonald.

For more information, go to www.warc.com.