Research News South Africa

Retail trade sales increase across the board

Measured at constant 2008 prices, retail trade sales for the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2011 increased 7.9% when compared with the 2010 Q4, Statistics South Africa announced today, 15 February 2012. This follows an increase of 8.7% year-on-year (y/y) in December 2011 and a month-on-month (m/m) increase of 1.3%.

The y/y increase is above the average expectation of 6.7% as forecast by eight economists in the I-Net Bridge survey.

The highest annual growth rate y/y in December 2011 was recorded for 'retailers in textiles, clothing, footwear and leather goods' (11.3%), followed by 'all other retailers' (10.9%) and 'retailers in household furniture, appliances and equipment' (9.7%).

The largest contributors to the 7.9% Q4 2011 increase were 'retailers in textiles, clothing, footwear and leather goods' (10.5% and contributing 2.4 percentage points), 'general dealers' (6.6% and contributing 2.4 percentage points) and 'all other retailers' (8.5% and contributing 1.0 percentage point).

In real terms, the seasonally adjusted retail trade sales m/m increase of 1.3% when compared with November 2011 follows m/m changes of -0.1% in November 2011 and 0.8% in October 2011.

Retail trade sales in real terms increased by 6.1% y/y in 2011. The highest annual growth rate for 2011 was recorded for 'retailers in household furniture, appliances and equipment' (10.4%), followed by 'retailers in hardware, paint and glass' (9.9%) and 'all other retailers' (8.1%).

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