Forecasting DDMRP in an FMCG environment - SAPICS to explain all

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This is because they use history as a basis for planning the future. However, the good news is that by going to greater lengths to understand the new concept of DDMRP, one can begin to service customers with greater levels of accuracy than ever before with shorter lead times and with reduced levels of inventory even in an FMCG context.

"DDMRP is a powerful way to create flow in the supply chain, one of the major issues that companies face in an increasingly competitive and more complex environment," says Steven Montgomery, GM of Logistics of ABE Construction Chemicals. "It does this by remodelling your supply chain through strategic positioning of inventory and linking to a pull from customer demand, instead of the traditional push and promote methodology found in many companies today."

SAPICS conference will unpack details

The insights of Montgomery and many other experts in forecasting and DDMRP will be available at the SAPICS 2015 conference, taking place from 31 May - 2 June 2015 at Sun City.

Forecasting & FMCG - During his talk entitled: Forecasting lessons from FMCG aisles, Barnton MD Thinus Hermannn will take participants on a virtual trip to a grocery store, pointing out the insights that can be gleaned there. "There is much to learn in every aisle, comparing the behaviour of different pack sizes of the same product, across a range of products. And just when you think you've got it all figured out, I'll challenge you to dig deeper into sales in the take away industry, which helps us refine forecasting month ends amongst others."

An excellent case study on the Shoprite transformation over the past 20 years will be presented by Industrial Logistic System' co-founder, Gary Benatar. The presentation tracks the journey since Shoprite adopted central distribution in 1993 as a key strategy to growth and efficiency for the consumer. "Participants will learn exactly how the strategy was implemented, how it has evolved and matured to allow Shoprite to become the largest retailer in SA and in Africa," he says. "If you want to learn how Shoprite succeeded in totally reengineering the FMCG market space with respect to supply chain, don't miss this talk!"

DDMRP and the Journey towards Supply Chain Maturity - Creating 'flow' in supply chain is a function of its ability to create network wide visibility, and most importantly, a conscious effort to move towards a culture of planning and demand driven systems.

In his paper on ABE Construction Chemicals' journey to true customer excellence, entitled DDMRP and the Journey towards Supply Chain Maturity, Montgomery will look at DDMRP in the context of a journey. "The first thing participants will learn is how to put some fundamentals in place: Defining demand; getting visibility on over- and under-stock positions; seeing the implications of a bi-modal stock distribution. These initial steps show what a company might need to get in place before they approach a DDMRP implementation. The talk will also describe the role that supporting systems and methodologies have played in the journey to customer service improvement and our continued efforts to drive our business to new heights which we believe can be achieved through a successful DDMRP implementation."

Supply chain simulation - With a solid theoretical foundation in place, management consultant, MD at Life Science Associates and partner at Production-Scheduling.com, Kien Leong will run a simulation of a supply chain planning system-using DDMRP. "Demand Driven MRP is designed to support material and inventory planning at a full scale of operation. This means addressing hundreds of products, produced and purchased items. To deploy DDMRP in the real world, you will need the help of computers to manage all of that information. This workshop will give access to such a planning system."

During the simulation, participants will have a go at making important decisions on selecting product families and Buffer Profiles. "The planner needs to choose a method to determine Average Daily Usage (ADU), Planned Adjustment and Variability Factors," he says. "These inputs will then determine how well the DDMRP system will perform."

Case studies

Bringing it all together with three in-depth case studies will be Erik Bush, CEO of Demand Driven Technologies. "Today, nearly every home in the United States has a product in it that passes through the Unilever DDMRP implementation," says Bush, referring to the kinds of insights participants will gain from attending his talk.

Delegates will also learn from a range of case studies from some of the best-known global organisations.