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S&P Global said Eskom's funding requirements for its financial year to March 2023 could now be as much as R45bn, up from a previously estimated R30bn, due to lower revenues and higher costs.
"Not only did South African energy regulator (Nersa) award a lower-than-anticipated tariff, the company also suffered strike action...that disrupted its power generation, and (faces) higher-than-forecast diesel costs," S&P Global said in a 19 July bulletin.
S&P Global has assigned Eskom a CCC+ rating with a negative outlook.
Eskom could not immediately be reached for comment.
Eskom was awarded a 9.6% tariff increase, lower than the 20.5% it had sought for the current financial year. The cost of diesel, which Eskom has increasingly relied on to generate power due to frequent faults at its ageing coal-fired plants, has also risen substantially this year in line with international crude prices.
The utility generated 20% more power from diesel-powered turbines between April and July this year compared to the same period last year, according to Eskom data.
Eskom will need to raise more capital to meet its debt maturities, interest payments and other cash flow shortfalls, S&P Global said.
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