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El Niño drought risk puts farmers on alert for 2026/27 season

Agriculture Minister Willie Aucamp has assured farmers and farming organisations that government will work with the sector to prepare for potentially challenging conditions during the 2026/27 summer season, as an El Niño weather pattern raises the risk of below-normal rainfall and higher temperatures.
Source: ©Oleksandr Petrunovskyi via
Source: ©Oleksandr Petrunovskyi via 123RF

The assurance follows the South African Weather Service’s (SAWS) Seasonal Climate Watch issued on 31 August, which warned of below-normal rainfall in many parts of the country during the summer season.

In a video shared on X, Aucamp acknowledged the concerns facing the agricultural sector but urged farmers to focus on preparedness, drawing on their experience in managing previous drought periods.

“We have heard the news about El Niño, which is going to have an effect on the agricultural sector, but we must be prepared and not be too negative about it. It is not the first time farmers have had to go through drought periods,” he said.

Government to strengthen early warnings

Aucamp highlighted the resilience of farmers and the role of technology and innovation in helping producers manage climate-related risks.

“Farmers are resilient; they know how to farm and how to take up these drought periods. Things have changed over the years, and today we have innovation that helps us to have data so that we will be better prepared to handle this drought,” he said.

He said government will strengthen early warning systems and provide regular weather updates, particularly regarding extreme heat conditions.

“We will be involved in providing early warning systems as frequently as we can, providing weather updates on a daily basis, especially to warn about severe heat conditions that might be on the rise,” Aucamp said.

He also urged farmers to make greater use of technology and innovation, while drawing on their experience and resilience.

El Niño is a natural climate pattern that alters global atmospheric circulation. In South Africa, it is typically associated with below-normal summer rainfall and higher temperatures.

According to the department, the 2025/26 summer season brought above-normal rainfall to many summer rainfall areas, improving dam levels and soil moisture. However, the expected return of drier conditions means farmers will need to implement risk-reduction measures.

Crop and livestock risks

For the agricultural sector, below-normal rainfall combined with high temperatures could result in dry conditions and heat stress, increasing the risk of crop failure and livestock mortalities where adequate mitigation measures are not implemented.

The department has encouraged crop farmers to adopt climate-smart agriculture practices that conserve soil moisture and minimise erosion.

Farmers are advised to use implements aligned with Conservation Agriculture principles, avoid unnecessarily expanding land under production and select suitable cultivars that can withstand hot and dry conditions.

They have also been urged to remain within recommended planting windows and use cultivars listed on the National Varietal List in compliance with the Plant Improvement Act.

Water and veld management

Water conservation will also be critical, particularly for irrigation farmers who may face restrictions if rainfall remains low.

The department has encouraged farmers to use water-harvesting techniques and efficient irrigation systems, including drip irrigation, and to irrigate during periods that minimise water loss, such as early morning or evening.

Livestock farmers have been advised to manage herd numbers according to the carrying capacity of the veld and available grazing to prevent overstocking and overgrazing.

Additional measures include rotational grazing, supplementary feed and adequate watering points.

Farmers have also been urged to regularly monitor their livestock and crops for pests and diseases, which can become more prevalent under hot and dry conditions.

Regular veterinary visits and vaccinations remain important, while farmers should closely monitor weather and climate information issued by SAWS.

Early action urged

The Department of Agriculture said it will continue to monitor conditions and provide early warning information through monthly advisories and daily extreme weather warnings.

It will also work with provincial agriculture departments and other stakeholders to raise awareness and strengthen farmers’ ability to understand and use early warning information for disaster risk mitigation and response.

The department urged farmers to make use of the available information and implement risk-reduction measures early, as the country prepares for potentially challenging conditions during the 2026/27 summer season.

Source: SAnews.gov.za

SAnews.gov.za is a South African government news service, published by the Government Communication and Information System (GCIS). SAnews.gov.za (formerly BuaNews) was established to provide quick and easy access to articles and feature stories aimed at keeping the public informed about the implementation of government mandates.

Go to: http://www.sanews.gov.za
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