Behind the curve: SA's maize industry woes
Despite strong growth in demand, global maize stocks have risen to multi-decade highs. Cumulative carryover stocks are forecast to reach a 27-year high by the end of 2014/15, led by strong gains in the major exporters and large worldwide harvests. However, according to Insight Survey's latest Carbohydrate Landscape Report this global production trend has been unable to gain traction in South Africa, as adverse weather conditions are putting strain on the local maize industry.
Insight Survey's Carbohydrate Landscape Report comprises extensive primary and secondary research (including in-depth interviews with leading industry experts) in order to provide detailed insight into the current state of woe in the local maize industry, and its impact on domestic market dynamics.
As the report indicates, it has been the severe droughts in two of the largest production areas (i.e. the Free State and North West provinces) which have resulted in the depletion of crops, and the subsequent halting of exports. The marked decline in yield is evident in the graph below:
The extent of the drought has meant that South Africa has been forced to start importing maize, with imports due to increase to around 934,000 metric tons of yellow maize through to March 2016. This need for importation is reiterated by Funzani Sundani, Agricultural Economist for Grain SA, who during one of our interviews, explained that "the impact of the drought on the summer crops was severe and the importation of specifically yellow maize is unavoidable".
This increase in importation is having a significant knock-on effect for the consumer, as high inflation is resulting in maize becoming a less affordable staple food for South African consumers. As such, local maize consumption has steadily declined since 2013, as price-sensitive consumers turn to cheaper alternatives such as rice.
The Landscape Sector Report (124 pages) provides a dynamic synthesis of primary and secondary research, including extensive interviews with relevant stakeholders and industry experts across the value chain: from organisational bodies to manufacturers, retailers and leading academics.
Some key questions the report will help you to answer:
For a full brochure please go to: http://www.insightsurvey.co.za/2015-carb-landscape-report.
About Insight Survey:
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For more information, go to www.insightsurvey.co.za.